The estimated minimum pensions for 2027 amount to €629.59 monthly, based on an hypothetical increase of 2.9% over the minimum pensions from 2026. This rise is due to both the new automatic equalization linked to the indexation adjustment, but also to an extraordinary increase expected for 2026. The definitive FONI (Independent Factor Index) data at 4% annual rate maintains the estimate of the equalization at 2.9%, thus confirming the effectiveness of the pension equalization strategy. The average monthly indices and the assumption of stable prices in the last quarter have contributed to maintaining this consistent estimate. Additionally, the 2027 figures are still predictive, but use the same scenario adopted for the pension review in 2027.

The percentage remains a prediction because the actual adjustment will depend on the recognized index of price stabilization for the new year based on the consumption prices of workers and employees (FOI) after tobacco discounts. The starting point is the minimum ordinary recognized by INPS, updated annually with automatic equilibration. The extraordinary increase added to the salary in 2026 follows a temporary regulation and requires therefore separate calculation. The estimated increase in minimum pensions from 2026 compared to 2026 is 17.74 euros per month, equivalent to an annual total of 8,184.67 euros over thirteen months. This calculation uses the same scenario adopted for the revaluation of pensions in 2027, but also considers the expected extraordinary increment for 2026.

This extraordinary increase, if included in the final projection, could have created a discrepancy with the original plan, but its inclusion has maintained the assessment of revaluation at 2.9%. However, the difference between the current value of minimum pensions for 2026 and that expected for 2027 can be overcome through the extension of the treatment of minimum pensions 2026 until December 2026, thus avoiding so as to apply the maximum amount previously planned for 2027. Moreover, the definitive data on the FOI index at 4.0% annually confirms the assessment of revaluation at 2.9%, maintaining therefore the original plan. Consequently, the projections of minimum pensions for 2027 were based on the analysis of provisional data and the equidistribution of pensions.

The contradictions in planning can be resolved through extending the minimum treatment period until December 2026, thus maintaining the forecast for reassessment at 2.9%.